2

Artistic Success

5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 76

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 19/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 79 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark19/06/2025 · OR 79 par19/06C9OR 79C9 @ Saratoga 18/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 77 parC7 @ Saratoga 28/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark28/08/2025 · OR 77 par28/08C7OR 77C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 81 parC5 @ Aqueduct 15/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 86 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 86 par15/11C5OR 86C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 83 · 6f Fm 126 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Saratoga 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 80 par19/07C8OR 80C8 @ Saratoga 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 1m110y 126 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 80 parC7 @ Saratoga 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 80 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 80 par4/09C7OR 80projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Saratoga?7th7th0
2026-08-12Saratoga?1st2nd−1
2026-07-19Saratoga?4th5th−1
2026-06-25Belmont At The Big A?3rd4th−1
2025-11-15Aqueduct?5th3rd+2
2025-09-28Belmont At The Big A?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0628/0919/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 52/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength37%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20252nd9/488%91%+0.03
18/07/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
28/08/20252nd6/168%88%+0.19
28/09/202511th5/174%9%-0.65
15/11/20255th11/271%56%-0.15
25/06/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10
19/07/20264th2/189%63%-0.27
12/08/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
04/09/20267th16/116%45%+0.30