
Garden Of Grace
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 9 · OR 75
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Belmont Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |