9

Garden Of Grace

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 9 · OR 75

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 04/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 80 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/01/2026 · OR 80 par4/01C6OR 80C6 @ Aqueduct 05/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 75 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/02/2026 · OR 75 parC6 @ Aqueduct 12/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 71 · 6f Slo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 71 par12/03C6OR 71C6 @ Aqueduct 09/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 70 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 17/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 72 · 6f Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 72 par17/05C6OR 72C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 75 · 6f Fm 126 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 75 parC6 @ Saratoga 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 74 par5/07C6OR 74C9 @ Saratoga 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fm 126 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 72 parC5 @ Belmont Park 18/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 70 · 7f Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 70 par18/09C5OR 70projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Belmont Park?4th2nd+2
2026-07-23Saratoga?1st3rd−2
2026-07-05Saratoga?4th3rd+1
2026-06-20Belmont At The Big A?2nd4th−2
2026-05-17Belmont At The Big A?3rd2nd+1
2026-04-09Aqueduct?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/019/045/0718/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/01/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
05/02/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07
12/03/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
09/04/20264th3/184%50%-0.34
17/05/20263rd2/189%75%-0.14
20/06/20262nd5/287%90%+0.03
05/07/20264th7/163%63%-0.01
23/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
18/09/20264th9/153%73%+0.20