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10

Mobay Princess

5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 80

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 27/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m Fm 11627/12C7C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 17/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 117C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 91 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark08/02/2026 · OR 91 par8/02C8OR 91C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 25/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark25/02/2026 · OR 92 parC8 @ Gulfstream 05/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 88 par5/03C8OR 88C8 @ Gulfstream 12/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 89 · 7f110y Fm 122 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Gulfstream 26/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 89 par26/04C8OR 89C8 @ Gulfstream 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 80 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Gulfstream 19/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 92 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 92 par19/07C8OR 92projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2026-06-13Gulfstream?2nd3rd−1
2026-04-26Gulfstream?8th9th−1
2026-04-12Gulfstream?4th5th−1
2026-03-05Gulfstream?6th7th−1
2026-02-25Tampa Bay Downs?8th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1225/0226/0419/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20253rd12/137%78%+0.41
17/01/202611th16/116%0%-0.16
08/02/20263rd9/153%78%+0.25
25/02/20268th6/168%22%-0.46
05/03/20266th33/10%44%+0.44
12/04/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
26/04/20268th16/116%0%-0.16
13/06/20262nd20/10%83%+0.83
19/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32