Sabby Sunset
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 11 · OR 67
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |