Bertrille
5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 85
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |