Cravings
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 10 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |