6
Griselda
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 90
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼3
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +3.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | -1th | +6 |
| 2025-09-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | -3th | +6 |
| 2025-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | -5th | +6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 26/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/07/2024 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 15/08/2024 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 10/11/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |