9
Linarite
7yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 8-12 · tight 74/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength8%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 24/05/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |