Lotus Petal
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 85
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 06/11/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |