Ori
5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 12 · OR 95
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
79%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2024-09-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2024-08-17 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | -2th | +6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 19/07/2024 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 17/08/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 13/09/2024 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 03/05/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |