Private Property
5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 87
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 16/06/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 02/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |