11

Salt Princess

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 11 · OR 86

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 24/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 49 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2025 · OR 49 par24/07C6OR 49C6 @ Saratoga 21/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 62 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 62 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 14/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 65 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 65 par14/09C7OR 65C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 04/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 71 · 1m110y 119 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 71 parC7 @ Aqueduct 12/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 76 par12/11C7OR 76C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m1f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 77 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 79 par11/06C6OR 79C7 @ Saratoga 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 80 parC7 @ Saratoga 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 82 par5/09C7OR 82projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-07-03Saratoga?6th6th0
2026-06-11Belmont At The Big A?6th5th+1
2026-05-03Belmont At The Big A?4th3rd+1
2025-11-12Aqueduct?1st1st0
2025-10-04Belmont At The Big A?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/074/1011/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength44%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20252nd9/153%83%+0.31
21/08/20257th14/126%40%+0.14
14/09/20252nd7/282%86%+0.04
04/10/20252nd16/116%91%+0.75
12/11/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
03/05/20264th5/174%57%-0.17
11/06/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
03/07/20266th9/153%29%-0.24
05/09/20264th20/10%70%+0.70