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Bourgoin

3yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 4

Chantilly · Prix D'indrolles Stakes · 6f 211y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength87%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 18/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12818/12C51 @ Chantilly 08/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f101y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Deauville 07/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS7/04C11 @ Chantilly 28/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Chantilly 31/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS31/051C1 @ Chantilly 24/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 4f213y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Deauville 09/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS9/08C11 @ Chantilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Chantilly 14/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13014/09C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Chantilly?1st1st0
2026-09-04Chantilly16th2nd+4
2026-08-09Deauville?13th9th+4
2026-06-24Chantilly?8th4th+4
2026-05-31Chantilly16th2nd+4
2026-04-28Chantilly13rd-1th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1228/049/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength68%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/12/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
08/03/202610th8/158%25%-0.33
07/04/20264th50/10%67%+0.67
28/04/20263rd11/271%82%+0.11
31/05/20266th10/147%44%-0.03
24/06/20268th33/10%0%0.00
09/08/202613th66/10%8%+0.08
04/09/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
14/09/20261st11/893%100%+0.07