
Gizmo
3yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 78
Chantilly · Prix D'indrolles Stakes · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newmarket | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-09-04 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -16.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |