5
Lucky Vows
2yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 2
Chantilly · Prix Du Grand Vivier Maiden Stakes · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +33.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 23/09/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |