14
Alpengeist
9yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 1
Chantilly · Prix De Saint-imier Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#12
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 12-16 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 31/01/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/03/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 23/03/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 20/05/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 23% | -0.03 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 14/09/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |