3
Baileys Eclair
6yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 2
Chantilly · Prix De Saint-imier Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Saint-Malo | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.20 |
| 04/05/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 42% | -0.40 |
| 14/08/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 62% | -0.04 |
| 24/09/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |