5
Cloud Man
8yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 4
Chantilly · Prix De Saint-imier Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 12th | 7/2 | 82% | 21% | -0.60 |
| 01/11/2025 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 30/03/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |
| 19/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |