10
Empress Star
5yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 13
Chantilly · Prix De Saint-imier Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#11
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Pornichet | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Pornichet | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 15-16 · tight 88/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 22/11/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.21 |
| 05/12/2025 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/12/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 21/01/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 77% | +0.11 |
| 15/05/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 10/06/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 23% | -0.24 |