16
Kasimska
6yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 14
Chantilly · Prix De Saint-imier Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#16
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 9.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Amiens | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 7-15 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2023 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 28/02/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 27/02/2025 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 04/04/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 20/05/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 14/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/09/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |