15
La Momy
6yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 11
Chantilly · Prix De Saint-imier Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 9.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 5-16 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 04/06/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 13/06/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/08/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |