6
River Daven
7yo Mare · 9-1 · Draw 7
Chantilly · Prix De Saint-imier Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 04/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 15/05/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |