12
Zoubareva
6yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 9
Chantilly · Prix De Saint-imier Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 03/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 23/03/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 04/05/2026 | 16th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 15/05/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/08/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |