11
Zygfryd
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 15
Chantilly · Prix De Saint-imier Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 32/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 12/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |
| 30/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.58 |
| 14/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 04/05/2026 | 15th | 15/2 | 61% | 7% | -0.54 |
| 19/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |
| 27/08/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |