8
Ambra Antica
4yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 16
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Laris Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Amiens | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 7-16 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 27/02/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 16/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 30/03/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 16/07/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 16/08/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 27/09/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |