12
Bobby Jean
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 8
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Laris Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6881.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Amiens | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 34392 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 29/01/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 07/08/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 14/09/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |