10
Joukovka
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 10
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Laris Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 46% | -0.14 |
| 11/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |