5
Lunala
6yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 12
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Laris Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 42% | -0.40 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 54% | -0.22 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 29/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |