16
Noble Angel
8yo Mare · 8-7 · Draw 13
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Laris Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/05/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.20 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |