9
Paco
8yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 4
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Laris Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +10.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/2026 | 13th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 18/02/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 06/03/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 23/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 14/09/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 29/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |