11
Sicilia
7yo Mare · 8-13 · Draw 2
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Laris Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 32/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 31/01/2026 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 21/03/2026 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 19/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 14/09/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |