4
Avec Des Si
3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 9
Chantilly · Prix De L'hotel De Vermandois Handicap · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 42% | -0.11 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/08/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |