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12

Baileys Hip Hop

3yo Gelding · 8-5 · Draw 14

Chantilly · Prix De L'hotel De Vermandois Handicap · 5f 212y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 30/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12830/01C5C5 @ Le Mans 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12820/03C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 22/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12322/05C?C0 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f102y GS 12123/06C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 10/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12910/08C?4 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 11830/084C0 @ Dieppe 17/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 11717/09C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Dieppe?10th10th0
2026-08-30Deauville44th4th0
2026-08-10Clairefontaine?13th13th0
2026-06-23Dieppe?7th7th0
2026-05-22Saint-Cloud?9th9th0
2026-03-20Le Mans?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0123/0617/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 8-14 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/202610th25/10%40%+0.40
20/03/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
22/05/20269th25/10%38%+0.38
23/06/20267th16/116%45%+0.30
10/08/202613th20/10%0%0.00
30/08/20264th50/10%73%+0.73
17/09/202610th8/158%25%-0.33