13
Faraway Tree
3yo Gelding · 8-0 · Draw 12
Chantilly · Prix De L'hotel De Vermandois Handicap · 5f 212y
#14
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Deauville | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 5-14 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 06/12/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 17/12/2025 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/03/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 10% | -0.37 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 10/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |