9
Hatsliana
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 13
Chantilly · Prix De L'hotel De Vermandois Handicap · 5f 212y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Amiens | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 11/07/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 15/08/2025 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/09/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 28/09/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 24/07/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/08/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 17/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |