2
Love Addict
3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 7
Chantilly · Prix De L'hotel De Vermandois Handicap · 5f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 34/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 10/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 31/03/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 10/08/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 42% | -0.35 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 17/09/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 42% | -0.32 |