7
Misty City
3yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 1
Chantilly · Prix De L'hotel De Vermandois Handicap · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 20/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/06/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 21/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |