10
Niouininon
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 11
Chantilly · Prix De L'hotel De Vermandois Handicap · 5f 212y
#11
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 70% | +0.15 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |