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6

Perfect Moon

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 8

Chantilly · Prix De L'hotel De Vermandois Handicap · 5f 212y

#8

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 23/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12823/03C5C5 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 128C0 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1214/05C?C0 @ Compiegne 20/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 129C0 @ ParisLongchamp 15/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y GS 13015/06C?C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 127C0 @ Clairefontaine 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12710/08C?C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 118C0 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12711/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud?4th4th0
2026-08-20Le Lion D'angers?7th7th0
2026-08-10Clairefontaine?4th4th0
2026-07-24Le Lion D'angers?3rd3rd0
2026-06-15ParisLongchamp?14th14th0
2026-05-20Compiegne?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0320/0510/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength24%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/202611th40/10%9%+0.09
21/04/20267th40/10%54%+0.54
04/05/202613th28/10%20%+0.20
20/05/202615th33/10%7%+0.07
15/06/202614th40/10%7%+0.07
24/07/20263rd33/10%83%+0.83
10/08/20264th11/142%73%+0.31
20/08/20267th4/179%14%-0.65
11/09/20264th16/116%77%+0.61