11
Possi
3yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 6
Chantilly · Prix De L'hotel De Vermandois Handicap · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 18/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 03/07/2026 | 12th | 5/1 | 74% | 21% | -0.52 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 12/08/2026 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 15% | -0.61 |
| 20/08/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 10% | -0.56 |
| 17/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 21/09/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |