16
Andy's Spirit
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 1
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Bourillon Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 12-16 · tight 78/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.18 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 18/07/2026 | 14th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |