14
Aucoeurdelanuit
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 14
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Bourillon Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 12-16 · tight 78/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/11/2025 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 20/02/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 03/03/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 23/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 21/05/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/09/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 23% | -0.30 |