15
Brave Shiina
9yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 7
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Bourillon Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Nancy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 45% | +0.03 |
| 02/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 58% | +0.03 |
| 21/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 04/04/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/06/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.21 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |