11
Ceros Gold
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 12
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Bourillon Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#16
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Amiens | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-18 | Marseille-borely | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 2-11 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength61%
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 15/05/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 18/06/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 19/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |