6
Double Effect
6yo Mare · 9-3 · Draw 5
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Bourillon Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 12-16 · tight 78/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -12.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 23/12/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 87% | +0.45 |
| 03/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 87% | +0.05 |
| 07/08/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 16/08/2026 | 11th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |