2
Fly Half
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 10
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Bourillon Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#15
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 16th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 21% | +0.06 |
| 24/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |