10

Judicious Game
7yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 9
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Bourillon Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-30 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Chantilly | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Le Mans | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 31% | -0.40 |
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 29/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |
| 10/11/2025 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/12/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 23/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |