13
Neuschwanstein
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 13
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Bourillon Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 39/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 54% | -0.01 |
| 12/05/2026 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.20 |
| 25/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 09/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 85% | -0.07 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 14/09/2026 | 12th | 15/8 | 90% | 15% | -0.75 |