8
Twarab
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 4
Chantilly · Prix Du Bois Bourillon Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Les Sables | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength21%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 58% | -0.30 |
| 28/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 30/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 18/07/2026 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 29/08/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 21/09/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |