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Adonide

3yo Filly · 9-10 · Draw 3

Chantilly · Prix De Senlis Handicap · 5f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 16/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12816/03C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 03/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1283/04C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 05/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1285/05C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 21/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12321/05C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 11/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12011/06C?C0 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12115/08C?C5 @ Chantilly 23/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12223/09C5projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Chantilly?6th6th0
2026-08-15Deauville?1st1st0
2026-06-11ParisLongchamp?12th12th0
2026-05-21ParisLongchamp?15th15th0
2026-05-05Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0
2026-04-03Saint-Cloud?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0321/0523/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 24/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/20269th7/282%11%-0.70
03/04/20265th14/126%56%+0.29
05/05/20263rd16/116%83%+0.68
21/05/202615th25/10%0%0.00
11/06/202612th66/10%15%+0.15
15/08/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
23/09/20266th9/488%29%-0.60